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Centre of Migration Research

CMR UW Migration Seminars: New Advances in Theory and Research on Migration: Scanning migration horizons


Please join us for a webinar on June 5th, with Professor Jakub Bijak (University of Southampton) “Scanning migration horizons”

Date: 5.06.2023, 15:00

To register for the webinar follow this link:

In the talk „Scanning migration horizons” we will explore some of the main sources of migration uncertainty across a range of time horizons. We will look at the implications of uncertainty not only for understanding migratory processes, but also for preparing adequate and realistic policy responses and for robust migration governance. From nowcasts and early warnings, through forecasts, to long-range migration scenarios, we will discuss some of the recent methodological developments for studying current and future migration. The discussion will focus on the limits of knowledge, and on what new tools and data sources can illuminate. We will conclude by offering health warnings for the use of forward-looking tools for analysing migration, especially important given the high degree of politicisation of the topic.

Jakub Bijak works as Professor of Statistical Demography at the University of Southampton, UK. He has PhD in economics, with specialisation in demography, obtained from the Warsaw School of Economics, and nearly 20 years of work experience in academia and international civil service. His research focuses on population and migration models and forecasts, demographic uncertainty, and the demography of armed conflict. For his work on migration modelling, he has been awarded the Allianz European Demographer Award (2015) and the Jerzy Z Holzer Medal (2007). Leader of a European Research Council project “Bayesian Agent-based Population Studies” (2017-22,, developing innovative simulation models of migration, and a Horizon 2020 project “QuantMig: Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy” (2020-23,, focused on migration uncertainty, scenarios and forecasting. Editor-in-Chief of Demographic Research (2018-24).

CMR UW Migration Seminars: New Advances in Theory and Research on Migration
A series of lecture with leading scholars, providing a platform for discussing current achievements in migration research in the world.